Ramifications of leadership spill uncertain

I’d love to know what the ramifications of the leadership spill are, but it just seems to hard to tell.  I think one possibility is that Gillard emerges looking stronger.  This stronger, more legitimate Gillard may then be a contender in the 2013 election.

The other option is that Gillard comes out of it looking like she has shafted Rudd twice.

I suppose this leadership spill is a little like any addiction, once you get hooked you just want more, so I’m still holding out hope for a 3rd option, of Rudd pressing the nuclear button  – by resigning from his seat/the party (he would be wise to hire personal bodyguards in this situation to protect his from ‘friendly fire’ aka ALP party members).

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The circular Rudd vs Gillard argument

Gillard will win…she must…because Rudd can’t win because he may lose support of the independents.

But Gillard can’t win the next election, especially with Rudd sitting on the back bench destabilising the government.

So maybe if Rudd won handsomely.

But it doesn’t matter if he wins handsomely, everyone in his government will hate him, it would be the most dysfunctional government ever (new records on that front are being broken all the time nowadays).

But it won’t even get to that, because I’m forgetting that Rudd can’t form government, on account of the independents.

So Gillard must win…but she can’t win the next election…

So maybe if Rudd…

But he can’t.

Rudd to quit Labor party when he loses, bring down the government – then attempt to make a comeback after he’s the only (albeit independent) MP to increase his vote in the subsequent election?

Maybe a little fanciful, but who knows what’s possible these days.  I reckon a Rudd resignation may be on the cards however.

He should move overseas for a few years.  Resign, jump on a jet plane for Paris.  Take some time to calm down, let some steam off, enjoy life outside of politics.  Become an entomologist.

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Amnesty joins Labor in wanting to see more drownings

A report today that Amnesty International says that Australia must scrap remote immigration detention centres and take other measures, in order to meet human rights standards.  This, in a week where 740 boat people have risked the dangerous journey from the safety of Indonesia in order to receive Australia’s welfare.

It beggars belief that Amnesty International can make such statements about mandatory detention, which was bought in by the Keating Labor government in 1994.

Some people may think that easing our asylum laws is a no-brainer – we’ll just be nicer to people that come here, it will make us feel better about ourselves.

Unfortunately the reality is quite different.  When the Rudd Labor government eased asylum laws in July 2008, headlines across the world announced the easing:

The United Kingdom:
Australia abandons asylum policy

USA:
Australia scraps tough asylum seeker law

New Zealand:
No lock up for some Aussie asylum seekers

Australia:
Rudd govt softens asylum seeker laws

When the laws were eased in 2008, this was the response of human rights advocates:

The Rudd government’s softening of immigration detention policies will help restore Australia’s international reputation after the “shameful” Howard years, human rights advocates say.

Since the ‘shameful’ Howard years, we have gone from no boats and two people in detention, to boats weekly, hundred’s drowned and thousands of people in detention.

The idiocy of some people is amazing.

 

 

 

 

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I hope newspapers never have parties

I work.  The company I work for might hold a party for achieving a milestone.  People may drink and enjoy themselves at this party.  These parties seem to boost morale…and any opportunity to indulge on the company’s expense is always a good opportunity.

But I’m glad I don’t work at CBA.  Today CBA is under fire for holding a party:

THE Commonwealth Bank is celebrating its home-loan selling success with a “pirate party”, days after raising interest rates on customers to protect mega-profits.

If they made mega profits – then it’s time for the workers that assisted in this to go overboard at this party and try to spend as big a percentage of that mega-profit as they can in the name of fun.    It will help with motivation, work satisfaction, and make you happy to be working at CBA.  The bank’s paying.  Go crazy.

As for the criticism, what should the bank do?  Never hold a party again?  Only hold one when we think it’s okay to, when they have been good?  Good in whose eyes, the press?

Now, banks may or may not be making unreasonable profits by setting interest rates at a higher rate than they need be.  Indeed, on Monday Tokyo-based Societe Generale Asia Pacific head of interest rate strategy Christian Carrillo said:

“The claim that the recent increase in mortgage rates is due to higher funding costs is very dubious,” he said in a research note. “The mortgage hikes seem aimed at protecting their high profit margins.”

The solution?  The press should stop harping on about parties and instead print a comparison table between banks and non-bank lenders.  Or put a link on their website to mortgage brokers.  Tell people if they don’t like the service they’re getting from their bank (or the number of parties that their bank is holding) then they can change.

In the mean time, drink up CBA staff.

 

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Gonski spends a lot of money, but where’s the reform?

The Gonski report into school funding has unsurprisingly said that schools require more funds.

I must admit that I have been a little remiss on keeping up with this story…but nowhere have I read where it recommends how to actually improve educational outcomes.  It just seems to recommend, you know, throwing a truck load of money at education.

But where are the reforms?  Where does it say that better teaches are required?  Where does it say that reviewing the performance of teachers needs to take place?  Where does it say that principals need to be given the chance to hire and fire teachers?

Does it highlight that, dollar-for-dollar, private education provides better outcomes for students at less cost?  Does it highlight the fact that you can become a teacher, and not have to do any further education, training or up-skilling throughout your career?

The answer to all these questions is that the answers to these questions are not to be found in the report.

And I think it’s ominous for the report’s future that:

  • the opposition does not agree with the report’s recommendations, and
  • the Gillard government has refused to commit to the funding.

So the report will sit on the shelf gathering dust…which is okay by me…although I would like to see some real reform…but that’s pretty hard to do when you’ve got leadership speculation to distract you.

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Rudd, the man with the ‘Patience of Job’

For those that aren’t up with the Old Testament, could Rudd be another Job…where his ‘prosperity is made greater than before’?

Job’s story, told in the Old Testament Book of Job, is that of a God-fearing man who is suddenly prostrated by a succession of calamities which strip him of goods, children and health. He remains steadfast throughout and these disasters are then revealed to have been God’s tests of his faith. Because of his endurance, Job is blessed by God and his prosperity is made greater than before.

I recall when Rudd first took leadership of the ALP, with Gillard his deputy.  I thought there was no way that the public would warm to either one of them.  Rudd seemed, for want of a better word, too ‘pratty’.  Gillard on the other hand seemed, well, out of her depth.

I’m not sure if my initial judgement was right or not, considering Rudd’s election victory in 2007.

Artist's impression of Kevin Rudd biding his time

Still, I do feel partially vindicated now…

I just had to bide my time for my predictions to come true.

Much like someone else has been patiently biding his time…

 

 

 

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Home and Away star told to ‘Expletive off back to New Zealand’

- FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE -

Producers of Home and Away today advised that they were “shocked and sickened” to discover that their show had been accused of not accurately reflecting the ethnic makeup of Australia.

“Of course we’re upset” a spokesman for Home and Away said “being in the arts community, we can’t just show Australia as it is…we need to portray an Australia that accurately represents the dreams and yearnings that certain sections of the arts community long for Australia to be.  Reality is just not good enough anymore.”  With a shrug of the shoulder and a look of contrition he added “I partially blame myself.  It was so obvious that we all missed it”.

Asked what measures Home and Away was going to take, the spokesman said “Well of course there’s going to be more Africans on the show.  I remember growing up, playing cricket with African kids in the street, how could we have missed that?”

“We’ve also hired a multicultural liaison officer, who has already pointed out the lack of Native Americans in Ramsey Street.  Some of the opportunities we’ve missed certainly do not make me proud to be Australian.”

Asked about having more Aboriginals on the show, the spokesman replied “Abba… – sorry?”

Deciding to leave that discussion to another day, the spokesman was then asked about Firass Dirani’s comments  (‘‘When you walk down Sydney streets you see so many different cultures and so many different people. Our TVs haven’t reflected that yet’’).

"That's better!" - The New Look Ramsey Street

“This is our crowning achievement, and the main reason why we’ve also decided to rename Ramsey Street to 中国上海百花洲 Street.”

“We all know that when you’re walking down Sydney streets you could be walking down the street of any town or city in Australia…whether it be Brisbane, Wangaratta or Bourke – so why stick to the outdated notion of Ramsey Street, when 中国上海百花洲 Street reflects Australian society much better?”

Was Left decided to interview some of the show’s viewers in South West Sydney to get their reaction.  Driving at break neck speed with the doors locked, I pulled up outside a typical suburban house.  Stepping over the sandbags to access the front gate, I noticed security cameras following me.  A sign on the front of the house read “Bullet Proof Windows – Please ‘Drive By’ Elsewhere”.

Knocking on the front door, the ferocious sound of two dogs barking immediately pierced the air before being quietened by the owner.

Slowly the door – reinforced with 3-inch thick metal – creaked open to reveal an old lady, sitting in a rocking chair with her dogs beside her – and a shotgun resting easily in her hands.

“What do you want?” the old lady screeched.

“Uh…I’m just wondering what you think of Jay Laga’aia’s comments…who said he is being discriminated against because he was born in New Zealand and is of Samoan descent?”

“Jay Laga’aia?” she said.  “Tell him to piss off back to New Zealand.”

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